2025 Spanish Grand Prix odds, picks, grid, start time: Formula 1 predictions, best bets by proven model
SportsLine's model analyzes Red Bull's Max Verstappen, McLaren's Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri and the rest of the starting grid's chances at the 2025 F1 Spanish GP

The 2025 Spanish Grand Prix will be held on Sunday at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, and after eight races it's looking like it will be a three-way title race in Formula 1 this season. McLaren teammates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris are separated by three points atop the F1 standings after Norris won in Monaco. Four-time defending world champion Max Verstappen of Red Bull Racing is 25 points behind Piastri on the lead. The latest 2025 Spanish Grand Prix odds from DraftKings list Piastri, who edged out Norris in qualifying on Saturday, as the -160 favorite.
Norris is +175, while Verstappen is at +550. The lights for the race go out at 9 a.m. ET, and the race is scheduled for 66 laps around the 14-turn, 2.894-mile circuit. Before analyzing the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2025 Spanish GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of betting success in motorsports, correctly predicting 21 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021 as well. It nailed 10 victories across the 2021 and 2022 seasons and then forecasted Verstappen's rise to prominence by calling all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and each of his first seven wins in 2024.
It went on to predict Norris as a +200 winner in the Netherlands, a +190 winner in Singapore and a +250 winner in Abu Dhabi later in 2024 before projecting Norris for a +185 win at the 2025 Australian Grand Prix and then a -150 win at Monaco. It also called Piastri's wins in Bahrain (-275) and Saudi Arabia (-105) this season, and has now called 33 of the last 52 winners dating back to 2023. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, DraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now, the model has dialed in on the 2025 Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix projected leaderboard.
Top 2025 Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix predictions
One surprise: The model is backing Carlos Sainz (+225) as the top finisher excluding cars from Ferrari, Mercedes, Red Bull Racing, McLaren and Aston Martin. The model correctly predicted that his Williams teammate Alex Albon would earn this distinction two weeks ago at Imola and now it's Sainz's turn after four consecutive points finishes.
Circuit de Catalunya hasn't yielded a podium yet in his career, but Sainz has earned points in each of his 10 starts in the Spanish Grand Prix. Williams has now put both of their cars in the points in each of its last four races and Albon even has a trio of top-five finishes, so we know that Sainz and Williams will have the speed to be highly competitive in Spain on Sunday. See more 2025 Spanish Grand Prix picks right here.
How to make 2025 Spanish Grand Prix picks
The model has revealed its win prediction and is also targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2025 Spanish GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.
So who wins the Spanish Grand Prix 2025, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2025 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2025 Spanish Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 33 of the 52 winners in Formula 1 since the start of 2023, and find out.
2025 Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix odds, contenders
See F1 Spanish Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.
(odds subject to change)
Oscar Piastri -160
Lando Norris +175
Max Verstappen +550
George Russell +4000
Lewis Hamilton +5500
Charles Leclerc +8000
Andrea Kimi Antonelli +13000
Pierre Gasly +30000
Isack Hadjar +30000
Fernando Alonso +50000
Alexander Albon +60000
Liam Lawson +60000
Yuki Tsunoda +70000
Lance Stroll +70000
Gabriel Bortoleto +70000
Carlos Sainz +70000
Oliver Bearman +80000
Nico Hulkenberg +80000
Franco Colapinto +80000
Esteban Ocon +80000